- Alfie Baron
Just to make this absolutely one hundred per cent clear: rape is an abhorrent crime and has no place in our society. It should never be tolerated.I also apologise if any terminology is incorrect - i.e. abortion vs termination etc. This is a sensitive subject and we’ve tried to be tactful.
The amount of tweets yesterday berating Scottish Conservative leader, Ruth Davidson, and the UK Government was astounding. SNP MP Angus Robertson was among those attacking Ms Davidson with him tweeting: “So @RuthDavidsonMSP thinks she can get away with supporting the disgusting Rape Clause with this pathetic 'clarification'! #nastyparty”
Even the usually considered missing MP for Paisley & Renfrewshire South piped up: “Immoral, unworkable and utterly shameful - my article on the Tory rape clause.”
The factsWe’ve performed a great deal of research in order to try and establish how many women the so-called “Rape Clause” might affect. I’ve yet to find an article which mentions how many women the new Conservative policy will apply to. Alison Thewliss didn't reply to tweets sent to her asking if she could supply this figure.
The Office for National Statistics (ONS) states there was an increase in the number of offences of rape to 29,234 for the year ending March 2015. Source
It appears to be widely accepted by medical experts that the rape-related pregnancy rate is as high as 5%.
Rounded up this means that approximately 1,462 women in the UK may become pregnant following a rape.
Medical research shows that approximately 11% of women have a “spontaneous” abortion as soon as they become aware of their pregnancy, A further 50% go on to have a scheduled abortion. So, out of the 1,462 pregnancies as a result of rape an estimated 61% end with an abortion. This means that 892 abortions can potentially take place. Source 1 Source 2
This brings the total down to 570 births in the United Kingdom as a result of rape.
Following this up to 6% of parents opt to place a child born as a result of rape up for adoption. So, this means a further 34 children would not be claimed for by the biological mother.
This leaves the number of children potentially being claimed for as a result of rape at 536.
Not all of the remaining 536 births will be third, or subsequent, children. The odds are that they could easily be a first or second child - not requiring the mother to report the rape or prove the rape to DWP/government staff.
The final figure of 536 is the absolute maximum amount of women who could be affected by this new ruling. We suggest it could be as low as a third if you take into account the pregnancy could be a first or second child.
One rape is too many. The SNP faux outrage and attacks on the Tories and Ruth Davidson are not justified and the energy should go towards helping others.
It seems like the SNP are jumping onto the so-called “RAPE CLAUSE” bandwagon so they can fit “TORY” and “RAPE” into the same sentence. It is mock outrage used as a diversion tactic.
Scottish Government reports show that in 2015/16 260,000 children were living in poverty. Source
Alison Thewliss and her team are spending time being critical of the Westminster Tories and Ruth Davidson where they should be concentrating on children in Scotland.
You can also read our latest article: How can Alison Thewliss support vulnerable women when she condones charities refusing to work with the DWP?
Below are recent press pieces on the so-called “Rape Clause”.
Alison Thewliss and her Hansard rant can be found here
An Evening Standard article endorsed by SNP MP Alison Thewliss can be found here
The article by SNP MP Mhairi Black can be found here